Vila Nova vs Londrina: predictions, H2H and market odds

Vila Nova have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.9 conceded (1.58 expected goals for, 1.49 against). Londrina have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded (1.13 expected goals for, 1.07 against).

Both teams scored in 10% of Vila Nova's recent matches and 50% of Londrina's; 20% and 60% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 7 meetings Vila Nova won 3, Londrina won 2 and 2 ended level. The most recent, on 31 May 2026, finished Londrina 0–1 Vila Nova.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 46% and over 2.5 goals at 44%. Kepler's model projects 1.69–1.00 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 50%.