Viking vs Lillestrøm: predictions, H2H and market odds

Viking have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded (1.91 expected goals for, 1.06 against). Lillestrøm have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.7 conceded (1.05 expected goals for, 1.72 against).

Both teams scored in 80% of Viking's recent matches and 50% of Lillestrøm's; 70% and 50% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 9 meetings Viking won 7, Lillestrøm won 2 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 22 Jul 2026, finished Lillestrøm 1–2 Viking.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 73%. Kepler's model projects 2.59–0.96 in expected goals, with 2–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 62% and over 2.5 goals at 70%.