Viking vs Fredrikstad: predictions, H2H and market odds

Viking have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.5 goals scored and 0.8 conceded (2.05 expected goals for, 1.10 against). Fredrikstad have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.1 conceded (1.26 expected goals for, 1.14 against).

Both teams scored in 70% of Viking's recent matches and 50% of Fredrikstad's; 70% and 30% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 5 meetings Viking won 3, Fredrikstad won 1 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 25 Apr 2026, finished Fredrikstad 1–2 Viking.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 69%. Kepler's model projects 2.18–0.81 in expected goals, with 2–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 72%.