Värnamo vs Falkenberg: predictions, H2H and market odds

Värnamo have won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.1 conceded (1.47 expected goals for, 1.33 against). Falkenberg have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.0 conceded (1.33 expected goals for, 1.13 against).

Both teams scored in 80% of Värnamo's recent matches and 70% of Falkenberg's; 50% and 60% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 3 meetings Värnamo won 2, Falkenberg won 1 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 23 May 2026, finished Falkenberg 3–1 Värnamo.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 55%. Kepler's model projects 1.32–2.07 in expected goals, with 1–2 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 61%.