Union Saint-Gilloise vs OH Leuven: predictions, H2H and market odds

Union Saint-Gilloise have won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.6 goals scored and 0.9 conceded (2.88 expected goals for, 1.08 against). OH Leuven have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.9 goals scored and 1.6 conceded (1.05 expected goals for, 1.47 against).

Both teams scored in 30% of Union Saint-Gilloise's recent matches and 40% of OH Leuven's; 70% and 50% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 10 meetings Union Saint-Gilloise won 7, OH Leuven won 1 and 2 ended level. The most recent, on 24 Jan 2026, finished OH Leuven 0–0 Union Saint-Gilloise.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 66%. Kepler's model projects 2.20–0.50 in expected goals, with 2–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 65%.