Tranmere Rovers vs Rochdale: predictions, H2H and market odds

Tranmere Rovers have won 2, drawn 6 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded (1.39 expected goals for, 1.35 against). Rochdale have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded (1.11 expected goals for, 1.15 against).

Both teams scored in 60% of Tranmere Rovers's recent matches and 40% of Rochdale's; 30% and 50% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 4 meetings Tranmere Rovers won 1, Rochdale won 1 and 2 ended level. The most recent, on 18 Apr 2023, finished Rochdale 2–2 Tranmere Rovers.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 50%. Kepler's model projects 1.39–1.14 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 55%.