Tottenham Hotspur vs Everton: predictions, H2H and market odds

Tottenham Hotspur have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded (1.17 expected goals for, 1.01 against). Everton have won 1, drawn 5 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.8 conceded (1.50 expected goals for, 1.27 against).

Both teams scored in 40% of Tottenham Hotspur's recent matches and 80% of Everton's; 40% and 70% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 10 meetings Tottenham Hotspur won 6, Everton won 1 and 3 ended level. The most recent, on 24 May 2026, finished Tottenham Hotspur 1–0 Everton.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 55%. Kepler's model projects 1.37–1.19 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.