Torino vs Roma: predictions, H2H and market odds

Torino have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.5 conceded (0.98 expected goals for, 1.57 against). Roma have won 9, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.7 goals scored and 0.4 conceded (2.18 expected goals for, 0.96 against).

Both teams scored in 80% of Torino's recent matches and 30% of Roma's; 80% and 60% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing open matches. In their last 10 meetings Torino won 1, Roma won 7 and 2 ended level. The most recent, on 18 Jan 2026, finished Torino 0–2 Roma.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 56%. Kepler's model projects 0.84–1.68 in expected goals, with 0–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.