Tondela vs Nacional: predictions, H2H and market odds

Tondela have won 1, drawn 6 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.9 goals scored and 1.5 conceded (1.11 expected goals for, 1.29 against). Nacional have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.5 goals scored and 1.1 conceded (1.30 expected goals for, 1.36 against).

Both teams scored in 40% of Tondela's recent matches and 20% of Nacional's; 40% and 20% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing tight matches. Their only previous meeting in our data, on 15 Dec 2025, finished Nacional 3–1 Tondela.