Tondela vs Moreirense: predictions, H2H and market odds

Tondela have won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.9 goals scored and 1.6 conceded (1.11 expected goals for, 1.24 against). Moreirense have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.7 conceded (1.13 expected goals for, 1.66 against).

Both teams scored in 30% of Tondela's recent matches and 50% of Moreirense's; 40% and 40% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing tight matches. In their last 3 meetings Tondela won 1, Moreirense won 2 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 11 Jan 2026, finished Moreirense 1–0 Tondela.