Tenerife vs Leganés: predictions, H2H and market odds

Tenerife have won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.7 goals scored and 0.9 conceded (0.92 expected goals for, 1.04 against). Leganés have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded (1.35 expected goals for, 1.41 against).

Both teams scored in 40% of Tenerife's recent matches and 30% of Leganés's; 10% and 40% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing tight matches. In their last 6 meetings Tenerife won 2, Leganés won 1 and 3 ended level. The most recent, on 19 Apr 2024, finished Tenerife 0–0 Leganés.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 46% and over 2.5 goals at 35%. Kepler's model projects 0.89–0.79 in expected goals, with 0–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 42% and over 2.5 goals at 38%.