Tenerife vs Girona: predictions, H2H and market odds

Tenerife have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.5 conceded (1.01 expected goals for, 1.28 against). Girona have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded (1.71 expected goals for, 1.27 against).

Both teams scored in 40% of Tenerife's recent matches and 60% of Girona's; 30% and 40% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing tight matches. In their last 4 meetings Tenerife won 2, Girona won 1 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 19 Jun 2022, finished Tenerife 1–3 Girona.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 44%. Kepler's model projects 0.90–1.41 in expected goals, with 0–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 52%.