Südtirol vs Ascoli: predictions, H2H and market odds

Südtirol have won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded (1.03 expected goals for, 1.07 against). Ascoli have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded (1.21 expected goals for, 1.17 against).

Both teams scored in 40% of Südtirol's recent matches and 50% of Ascoli's; 20% and 40% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing tight matches. In their last 4 meetings Südtirol won 2, Ascoli won 1 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 4 Feb 2024, finished Ascoli 1–2 Südtirol.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 46%. Kepler's model projects 1.05–0.91 in expected goals, with 1–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 52%.