Stevenage vs Wigan Athletic: predictions, H2H and market odds

Stevenage have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.1 conceded (1.23 expected goals for, 0.90 against). Wigan Athletic have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.5 goals scored and 1.4 conceded (0.93 expected goals for, 1.23 against).

Both teams scored in 50% of Stevenage's recent matches and 20% of Wigan Athletic's; 40% and 30% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing tight matches. In their last 6 meetings Stevenage won 3, Wigan Athletic won 1 and 2 ended level. The most recent, on 2 May 2026, finished Stevenage 1–0 Wigan Athletic.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 43%. Kepler's model projects 1.05–0.73 in expected goals, with 1–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 51%.