Standard Liège vs Sporting Charleroi: predictions, H2H and market odds

Standard Liège have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded (1.59 expected goals for, 1.34 against). Sporting Charleroi have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 0.9 conceded (1.57 expected goals for, 1.19 against).

Both teams scored in 60% of Standard Liège's recent matches and 50% of Sporting Charleroi's; 60% and 40% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 10 meetings Standard Liège won 3, Sporting Charleroi won 4 and 3 ended level. The most recent, on 23 May 2026, finished Standard Liège 0–2 Sporting Charleroi.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 53%. Kepler's model projects 1.10–1.15 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.