Stabæk vs Sogndal: predictions, H2H and market odds

Stabæk have won 7, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 3.0 goals scored and 1.4 conceded (1.96 expected goals for, 1.26 against). Sogndal have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 2.2 conceded (1.11 expected goals for, 1.90 against).

Both teams scored in 50% of Stabæk's recent matches and 70% of Sogndal's; 70% and 60% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing open matches. In their last 7 meetings Stabæk won 2, Sogndal won 2 and 3 ended level. The most recent, on 20 May 2026, finished Sogndal 2–2 Stabæk.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 68% and over 2.5 goals at 78%. Kepler's model projects 2.34–1.32 in expected goals, with 2–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 69%.