SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Magdeburg: predictions, H2H and market odds

SpVgg Greuther Fürth have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded (1.68 expected goals for, 1.50 against). Magdeburg have won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.1 conceded (1.46 expected goals for, 1.81 against).

Both teams scored in 80% of SpVgg Greuther Fürth's recent matches and 30% of Magdeburg's; 60% and 50% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 8 meetings SpVgg Greuther Fürth won 2, Magdeburg won 2 and 4 ended level. The most recent, on 6 Feb 2026, finished SpVgg Greuther Fürth 4–5 Magdeburg.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 64%. Kepler's model projects 1.65–1.71 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 66%.