Sporting Charleroi vs Union Saint-Gilloise: predictions, H2H and market odds

Sporting Charleroi have won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 0.4 conceded (1.37 expected goals for, 1.00 against). Union Saint-Gilloise have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.3 goals scored and 1.0 conceded (1.99 expected goals for, 1.02 against).

Both teams scored in 30% of Sporting Charleroi's recent matches and 40% of Union Saint-Gilloise's; 20% and 80% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 10 meetings Sporting Charleroi won 0, Union Saint-Gilloise won 9 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 14 Dec 2025, finished Sporting Charleroi 1–1 Union Saint-Gilloise.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 53%. Kepler's model projects 0.75–1.51 in expected goals, with 0–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.