Sporting Charleroi vs Cercle Brugge: predictions, H2H and market odds

Sporting Charleroi have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.7 conceded (1.43 expected goals for, 1.02 against). Cercle Brugge have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 2.0 conceded (1.66 expected goals for, 1.35 against).

Both teams scored in 40% of Sporting Charleroi's recent matches and 70% of Cercle Brugge's; 30% and 70% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 10 meetings Sporting Charleroi won 4, Cercle Brugge won 4 and 2 ended level. The most recent, on 7 Feb 2026, finished Sporting Charleroi 3–4 Cercle Brugge.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 57%. Kepler's model projects 1.65–1.14 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 59%.