Sporting Braga vs Estoril: predictions, H2H and market odds

Sporting Braga have won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.4 conceded (1.12 expected goals for, 1.15 against). Estoril have won 0, drawn 4 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.5 goals scored and 1.4 conceded (1.22 expected goals for, 1.27 against).

Both teams scored in 80% of Sporting Braga's recent matches and 50% of Estoril's; 70% and 20% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 10 meetings Sporting Braga won 6, Estoril won 1 and 3 ended level. The most recent, on 3 May 2026, finished Sporting Braga 1–1 Estoril.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 57%. Kepler's model projects 2.35–1.03 in expected goals, with 2–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.