Southampton vs Middlesbrough: predictions, H2H and market odds

Southampton have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 0.9 conceded (1.55 expected goals for, 1.20 against). Southampton still have other matches before this one, starting with Derby County on 21 November, so their figures here will update as those results come in. Middlesbrough have won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded (1.98 expected goals for, 1.02 against). Middlesbrough still have other matches before this one, starting with Bristol City on 21 November, so their figures here will update as those results come in.

Both teams scored in 60% of Southampton's recent matches and 60% of Middlesbrough's; 50% and 70% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 5 meetings Southampton won 0, Middlesbrough won 2 and 3 ended level. The most recent, on 9 May 2026, finished Middlesbrough 0–0 Southampton.