Sint-Truiden vs Union Saint-Gilloise: predictions, H2H and market odds

Sint-Truiden have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded (1.62 expected goals for, 1.44 against). Union Saint-Gilloise have won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded (1.90 expected goals for, 1.00 against).

Both teams scored in 70% of Sint-Truiden's recent matches and 40% of Union Saint-Gilloise's; 60% and 70% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing open matches. In their last 10 meetings Sint-Truiden won 1, Union Saint-Gilloise won 7 and 2 ended level. The most recent, on 2 May 2026, finished Sint-Truiden 2–1 Union Saint-Gilloise.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 58%. Kepler's model projects 0.88–1.61 in expected goals, with 0–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 50%.