Shrewsbury Town vs Northampton Town: predictions, H2H and market odds

Shrewsbury Town have won 2, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 1.5 conceded (1.09 expected goals for, 1.01 against). Northampton Town have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.7 conceded (1.10 expected goals for, 1.68 against).

Both teams scored in 30% of Shrewsbury Town's recent matches and 60% of Northampton Town's; 40% and 40% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing tight matches. In their last 4 meetings Shrewsbury Town won 2, Northampton Town won 1 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 21 Apr 2025, finished Northampton Town 4–1 Shrewsbury Town.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 41%. Kepler's model projects 0.57–1.03 in expected goals, with 0–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 40% and over 2.5 goals at 41%.