Shrewsbury Town vs Exeter City: predictions, H2H and market odds

Shrewsbury Town have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.9 goals scored and 1.5 conceded (1.20 expected goals for, 1.08 against). Exeter City have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded (1.17 expected goals for, 1.12 against).

Both teams scored in 40% of Shrewsbury Town's recent matches and 30% of Exeter City's; 40% and 20% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing tight matches. In their last 6 meetings Shrewsbury Town won 1, Exeter City won 3 and 2 ended level. The most recent, on 8 Mar 2025, finished Exeter City 2–0 Shrewsbury Town.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 42%. Kepler's model projects 0.47–0.68 in expected goals, with 0–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 44%.