SD Eibar vs Mallorca: predictions, H2H and market odds

SD Eibar have won 7, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.2 conceded (1.64 expected goals for, 1.32 against). Mallorca have won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.4 conceded (1.25 expected goals for, 0.91 against).

Both teams scored in 60% of SD Eibar's recent matches and 10% of Mallorca's; 80% and 30% went over 2.5 goals. The two have no previous meeting in our data.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 51% and over 2.5 goals at 46%. Kepler's model projects 0.55–0.76 in expected goals, with 0–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 46%.