Sarpsborg 08 vs Rosenborg: predictions, H2H and market odds

Sarpsborg 08 have won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.5 conceded (1.47 expected goals for, 1.69 against). Rosenborg have won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.8 goals scored and 1.3 conceded (2.44 expected goals for, 1.51 against).

Both teams scored in 70% of Sarpsborg 08's recent matches and 60% of Rosenborg's; 60% and 80% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing open matches. In their last 10 meetings Sarpsborg 08 won 5, Rosenborg won 2 and 3 ended level. The most recent, on 12 Apr 2026, finished Rosenborg 2–1 Sarpsborg 08.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 65% and over 2.5 goals at 64%. Kepler's model projects 1.55–1.58 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 66% and over 2.5 goals at 67%.