São Paulo vs Internacional: predictions, H2H and market odds

São Paulo have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.9 goals scored and 1.2 conceded (1.07 expected goals for, 1.17 against). Internacional have won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.6 conceded (1.02 expected goals for, 1.31 against).

Both teams scored in 60% of São Paulo's recent matches and 70% of Internacional's; 30% and 50% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 9 meetings São Paulo won 4, Internacional won 3 and 2 ended level. The most recent, on 1 Apr 2026, finished Internacional 1–1 São Paulo.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 47% and over 2.5 goals at 40%. Kepler's model projects 1.40–0.93 in expected goals, with 1–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 48%.