São Paulo vs Grêmio: predictions, H2H and market odds

São Paulo have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.6 conceded (1.20 expected goals for, 1.58 against). Grêmio have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.7 conceded (1.94 expected goals for, 1.52 against).

Both teams scored in 50% of São Paulo's recent matches and 60% of Grêmio's; 60% and 70% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing open matches. In their last 6 meetings São Paulo won 3, Grêmio won 3 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 16 Oct 2025, finished Grêmio 2–0 São Paulo.