Sampdoria vs Catanzaro: predictions, H2H and market odds

Sampdoria have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded (1.23 expected goals for, 1.07 against). Catanzaro have won 4, drawn 0 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded (1.47 expected goals for, 1.51 against).

Both teams scored in 40% of Sampdoria's recent matches and 30% of Catanzaro's; 40% and 50% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 6 meetings Sampdoria won 1, Catanzaro won 1 and 4 ended level. The most recent, on 25 Jan 2026, finished Catanzaro 0–0 Sampdoria.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 53%. Kepler's model projects 1.18–1.37 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.