Salford City vs Swindon Town: predictions, H2H and market odds

Salford City have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded (1.08 expected goals for, 1.39 against). Swindon Town have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 2.1 conceded (1.32 expected goals for, 1.76 against).

Both teams scored in 40% of Salford City's recent matches and 50% of Swindon Town's; 50% and 90% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 10 meetings Salford City won 4, Swindon Town won 2 and 4 ended level. The most recent, on 17 Jan 2026, finished Swindon Town 2–3 Salford City.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 62%. Kepler's model projects 1.57–1.36 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 56%.