Rotherham United vs Crewe Alexandra: predictions, H2H and market odds

Rotherham United have won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.6 conceded (1.28 expected goals for, 1.29 against). Crewe Alexandra have won 2, drawn 6 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded (1.04 expected goals for, 1.45 against).

Both teams scored in 70% of Rotherham United's recent matches and 50% of Crewe Alexandra's; 50% and 20% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 2 meetings Rotherham United won 1, Crewe Alexandra won 0 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 29 Jan 2022, finished Crewe Alexandra 0–2 Rotherham United.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 60% and over 2.5 goals at 56%. Kepler's model projects 1.57–1.31 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.