Roma vs Inter: predictions, H2H and market odds

Roma have won 9, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.6 goals scored and 0.4 conceded (2.19 expected goals for, 0.92 against). Inter have won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.7 goals scored and 1.2 conceded (1.83 expected goals for, 1.15 against).

Both teams scored in 30% of Roma's recent matches and 60% of Inter's; 50% and 70% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 10 meetings Roma won 2, Inter won 8 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 5 Apr 2026, finished Inter 5–2 Roma.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 67% and over 2.5 goals at 61%. Kepler's model projects 1.32–1.50 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 62%.