Rochdale vs Oldham Athletic: predictions, H2H and market odds

Rochdale have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded (1.01 expected goals for, 1.15 against). Oldham Athletic have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.5 conceded (1.38 expected goals for, 1.65 against).

Both teams scored in 50% of Rochdale's recent matches and 60% of Oldham Athletic's; 60% and 70% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing open matches. In their last 2 meetings Rochdale won 0, Oldham Athletic won 1 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 29 Jan 2022, finished Oldham Athletic 0–0 Rochdale.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 53%. Kepler's model projects 0.82–1.56 in expected goals, with 0–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 46%.