Rochdale vs Gillingham: predictions, H2H and market odds

Rochdale have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded (0.97 expected goals for, 1.19 against). Gillingham have won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.9 goals scored and 1.7 conceded (1.14 expected goals for, 1.66 against).

Both teams scored in 50% of Rochdale's recent matches and 50% of Gillingham's; 60% and 40% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 2 meetings Rochdale won 0, Gillingham won 2 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 18 Feb 2023, finished Rochdale 0–2 Gillingham.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 49%. Kepler's model projects 1.17–1.16 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 48%.