Real Valladolid vs Real Oviedo: predictions, H2H and market odds

Real Valladolid have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded (0.98 expected goals for, 1.43 against). Real Oviedo have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.2 goals scored and 1.2 conceded (0.95 expected goals for, 1.18 against).

Both teams scored in 30% of Real Valladolid's recent matches and 10% of Real Oviedo's; 20% and 30% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing tight matches. In their last 4 meetings Real Valladolid won 3, Real Oviedo won 1 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 23 Feb 2024, finished Real Valladolid 3–0 Real Oviedo.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 48% and over 2.5 goals at 37%. Kepler's model projects 0.86–0.99 in expected goals, with 0–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 45% and over 2.5 goals at 40%.