Real Sociedad II vs Almería: predictions, H2H and market odds

Real Sociedad II have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 1.8 conceded (1.17 expected goals for, 1.47 against). Almería have won 7, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 0.7 conceded (1.43 expected goals for, 0.98 against).

Both teams scored in 80% of Real Sociedad II's recent matches and 30% of Almería's; 60% and 50% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 4 meetings Real Sociedad II won 0, Almería won 3 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 29 Mar 2026, finished Almería 5–1 Real Sociedad II.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 57%. Kepler's model projects 1.42–1.90 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.