Real Oviedo vs Sporting Gijón: predictions, H2H and market odds

Real Oviedo have won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded (0.98 expected goals for, 1.17 against). Sporting Gijón have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.9 conceded (1.56 expected goals for, 1.05 against).

Both teams scored in 10% of Real Oviedo's recent matches and 50% of Sporting Gijón's; 30% and 50% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 8 meetings Real Oviedo won 2, Sporting Gijón won 2 and 4 ended level. The most recent, on 11 Jan 2025, finished Real Oviedo 1–1 Sporting Gijón.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 46% and over 2.5 goals at 38%. Kepler's model projects 1.32–0.82 in expected goals, with 1–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 51%.