Real Oviedo vs Burgos: predictions, H2H and market odds

Real Oviedo have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.3 goals scored and 1.3 conceded (0.99 expected goals for, 1.24 against). Burgos have won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 0.9 conceded (1.19 expected goals for, 1.21 against).

Both teams scored in 20% of Real Oviedo's recent matches and 40% of Burgos's; 30% and 30% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing tight matches. In their last 8 meetings Real Oviedo won 4, Burgos won 3 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 22 Feb 2025, finished Burgos 1–2 Real Oviedo.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 42% and over 2.5 goals at 35%. Kepler's model projects 1.04–0.68 in expected goals, with 1–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 42% and over 2.5 goals at 38%.