RB Leipzig vs FSV Mainz 05: predictions, H2H and market odds

RB Leipzig have won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.8 goals scored and 1.7 conceded (2.37 expected goals for, 2.16 against). RB Leipzig still have other matches before this one, starting with FC Union Berlin on 21 November, so their figures here will update as those results come in. FSV Mainz 05 have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 1.9 conceded (1.89 expected goals for, 1.55 against). FSV Mainz 05 still have other matches before this one, starting with FC Augsburg on 22 November, so their figures here will update as those results come in.

Both teams scored in 40% of RB Leipzig's recent matches and 60% of FSV Mainz 05's; 80% and 70% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing open matches. In their last 10 meetings RB Leipzig won 3, FSV Mainz 05 won 5 and 2 ended level. The most recent, on 31 Jan 2026, finished RB Leipzig 1–2 FSV Mainz 05.