Racing Santander vs Valencia: predictions, H2H and market odds

Racing Santander have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 2.4 conceded (1.62 expected goals for, 1.75 against). Valencia have won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded (1.07 expected goals for, 1.42 against).

Both teams scored in 80% of Racing Santander's recent matches and 50% of Valencia's; 80% and 50% went over 2.5 goals. The two have no previous meeting in our data.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 58%. Kepler's model projects 1.99–1.98 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 64% and over 2.5 goals at 61%.