Queens Park Rangers vs Middlesbrough: predictions, H2H and market odds

Queens Park Rangers have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded (1.76 expected goals for, 1.42 against). Middlesbrough have won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.1 conceded (1.49 expected goals for, 1.12 against).

Both teams scored in 60% of Queens Park Rangers's recent matches and 70% of Middlesbrough's; 60% and 60% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing open matches. In their last 10 meetings Queens Park Rangers won 3, Middlesbrough won 6 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 8 Mar 2026, finished Queens Park Rangers 0–4 Middlesbrough.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 56%. Kepler's model projects 1.21–1.54 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 61% and over 2.5 goals at 55%.