Porto vs Benfica: predictions, H2H and market odds

Porto and Benfica met on Sunday, 20 September 2026 (Liga Portugal); it finished Porto 3–1 Benfica. The match was played at Estádio Do Dragão, Porto.

Porto have won 9, drawn 0 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, averaging 2.0 goals scored and 0.6 conceded (1.48 expected goals for, 0.97 against). Benfica have won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, averaging 3.2 goals scored and 1.0 conceded (2.24 expected goals for, 1.16 against).

Both teams scored in 40% of Porto's recent matches and 70% of Benfica's; 50% and 100% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 10 meetings Porto won 4, Benfica won 4 and 2 ended level. The most recent, on 8 Mar 2026, finished Benfica 2–2 Porto.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 57% and over 2.5 goals at 51%. Kepler's model projects 1.24–1.14 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 58% and over 2.5 goals at 56%.

Team form

Full form and stats →

Porto vs Benfica head to head

All meetings →

4Wins

2Draws

4Wins

8 Mar 2026BenficaPorto222-2
5 Oct 2025PortoBenfica000-0
6 Apr 2025PortoBenfica141-4

Porto vs Benfica: questions and answers

When is Porto vs Benfica?

Porto vs Benfica was played on 20 September 2026 (Liga Portugal).

Where is Porto vs Benfica played?

The match was played at Estádio Do Dragão, Porto.

Will both teams score in Porto vs Benfica?

Yes: it finished Porto 3–1 Benfica. Before kickoff, the market had both teams to score at 57%, margin removed. Kepler's model gives 58%. Both teams scored in 40% of Porto's recent matches and 70% of Benfica's.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Porto vs Benfica?

Yes: it finished Porto 3–1 Benfica. Before kickoff, the market had over 2.5 goals at 51%, margin removed. Kepler's model gives 56%. 50% of Porto's recent matches and 100% of Benfica's went over 2.5 goals.