Polonia Warszawa vs Miedź Legnica: predictions, H2H and market odds

Polonia Warszawa have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.3 conceded (1.37 expected goals for, 1.07 against). Miedź Legnica have won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.9 conceded (1.33 expected goals for, 1.28 against).

Both teams scored in 70% of Polonia Warszawa's recent matches and 40% of Miedź Legnica's; 60% and 50% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 6 meetings Polonia Warszawa won 1, Miedź Legnica won 3 and 2 ended level. The most recent, on 21 Mar 2026, finished Polonia Warszawa 1–1 Miedź Legnica.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 63% and over 2.5 goals at 61%. Kepler's model projects 1.38–1.19 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.