Oldham Athletic vs Chesterfield: predictions, H2H and market odds

Oldham Athletic have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.4 conceded (1.26 expected goals for, 1.56 against). Chesterfield have won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 1.0 conceded (1.36 expected goals for, 1.45 against).

Both teams scored in 50% of Oldham Athletic's recent matches and 50% of Chesterfield's; 60% and 30% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 2 meetings Oldham Athletic won 1, Chesterfield won 0 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 17 Mar 2026, finished Chesterfield 0–3 Oldham Athletic.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 54% and over 2.5 goals at 51%. Kepler's model projects 1.35–1.04 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 50%.