Northampton Town vs Tranmere Rovers: predictions, H2H and market odds

Northampton Town have won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded (1.22 expected goals for, 1.31 against). Tranmere Rovers have won 1, drawn 6 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.2 goals scored and 1.5 conceded (1.45 expected goals for, 1.26 against).

Both teams scored in 40% of Northampton Town's recent matches and 70% of Tranmere Rovers's; 10% and 40% went over 2.5 goals. Both sides have been playing tight matches. In their last 4 meetings Northampton Town won 3, Tranmere Rovers won 0 and 1 ended level. The most recent, on 8 May 2023, finished Tranmere Rovers 0–1 Northampton Town.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 44%. Kepler's model projects 1.19–0.68 in expected goals, with 1–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 48%.