Northampton Town vs Rotherham United: predictions, H2H and market odds

Northampton Town have won 1, drawn 3 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.7 goals scored and 1.7 conceded (1.14 expected goals for, 1.72 against). Rotherham United have won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded (1.29 expected goals for, 1.27 against).

Both teams scored in 50% of Northampton Town's recent matches and 70% of Rotherham United's; 30% and 50% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 4 meetings Northampton Town won 0, Rotherham United won 4 and 0 ended level. The most recent, on 27 Jan 2026, finished Rotherham United 2–1 Northampton Town.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 53% and over 2.5 goals at 45%. Kepler's model projects 1.30–1.01 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 44%.