Newport County vs Grimsby Town: predictions, H2H and market odds

Newport County have won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded (1.57 expected goals for, 1.40 against). Grimsby Town have won 4, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 0.9 conceded (1.45 expected goals for, 0.99 against).

Both teams scored in 60% of Newport County's recent matches and 50% of Grimsby Town's; 60% and 50% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 8 meetings Newport County won 0, Grimsby Town won 4 and 4 ended level. The most recent, on 7 Feb 2026, finished Newport County 0–0 Grimsby Town.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 55% and over 2.5 goals at 52%. Kepler's model projects 1.22–1.63 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 53%.