Newport County vs Fleetwood Town: predictions, H2H and market odds

Newport County have won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.8 conceded (1.57 expected goals for, 1.49 against). Fleetwood Town have won 3, drawn 6 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.3 conceded (1.31 expected goals for, 1.18 against).

Both teams scored in 70% of Newport County's recent matches and 70% of Fleetwood Town's; 80% and 40% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 4 meetings Newport County won 0, Fleetwood Town won 2 and 2 ended level. The most recent, on 28 Feb 2026, finished Fleetwood Town 0–0 Newport County.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 52%. Kepler's model projects 1.23–1.41 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 59% and over 2.5 goals at 54%.