Newport County vs Colchester United: predictions, H2H and market odds

Newport County have won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.3 conceded (1.17 expected goals for, 1.23 against). Colchester United have won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded (1.36 expected goals for, 1.97 against).

Both teams scored in 60% of Newport County's recent matches and 70% of Colchester United's; 60% and 50% went over 2.5 goals. In their last 10 meetings Newport County won 2, Colchester United won 5 and 3 ended level. The most recent, on 7 Mar 2026, finished Newport County 1–2 Colchester United.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 56% and over 2.5 goals at 52%. Kepler's model projects 1.17–1.34 in expected goals, with 1–1 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 56%.