Náutico vs Botafogo SP: predictions, H2H and market odds

Náutico have won 3, drawn 5 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, averaging 0.9 goals scored and 0.9 conceded (1.55 expected goals for, 1.26 against). Botafogo SP have won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 1.4 conceded (1.02 expected goals for, 1.00 against).

Both teams scored in 60% of Náutico's recent matches and 60% of Botafogo SP's; 30% and 60% went over 2.5 goals. Their only previous meeting in our data, on 2 May 2026, finished Botafogo SP 1–1 Náutico.

With the bookmaker's margin removed, the market puts both teams to score at 50% and over 2.5 goals at 44%. Kepler's model projects 1.55–0.82 in expected goals, with 1–0 the most likely score, and puts both teams to score at 52% and over 2.5 goals at 48%.